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IDT13130

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Thursday 5 February 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Wednesday 4 February 2026.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Weather District District Rating Max Sub Area Rating District FBI cHaines Wind Change Danger Index TAL Minor Fuel Type Rating >= Extreme
King Island   Moderate 12 7 0 0  
Flinders   High 29 8 0 0  
Central Coast   Moderate 21 5 0 0  
Latrobe   High 33 5 0 0  
Kentish   High 25 5 0 0  
Burnie City   Moderate 21 5 0 0  
Devonport City   High 27 5 0 0  
Circular Head   Moderate 21 4 0 0  
West Tamar   High 28 5 3 0  
Launceston City   High 28 4 44 0  
George Town   High 32 5 0 0  
Dorset   High 33 6 38 0  
Break O'Day   High 24 6 54 0  
Glamorgan-Spring Bay   High 30 5 95 0  
Sorell   High 26 2 0 0  
Northern Midlands   High 25 6 38 0  
Southern Midlands   High 26 3 6 0  
Upper Derwent Valley Moderate NA 22 1 0 0  
Tasman   High 28 1 0 0  
Kingborough   High 27 1 28 0  
Clarence City   High 28 2 0 0  
Glenorchy City   Moderate 21 1 0 0  
Hobart City   Moderate 22 1 0 0  
Brighton   High 28 2 0 0  
Meander Valley   High 24 4 4 0  
Central Highlands   Moderate 21 2 0 0  
Huon Valley   Moderate 19 1 28 0  
Waratah-Wynyard   Moderate 17 4 0 0  
West Coast   Moderate 18 1 0 0  
Derwent Valley   Moderate 20 0 0 0  

Note

Fire Weather District Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
District FBI (Fire Behaviour Index) is the representative peak FBI in the district. 10% of the Fire Weather District has a max FBI higher than this value.
When the table is expanded the forecast elements in the expanded rows apply to the relevant Sub Area rather than district.
Red cells indicate the value exceeds the weather alert threshold. For c-Haines this is the 95th percentile climatological value, for WCDI this is a value over 40, for Minor Fuel Type Rating this indicates Extreme or higher whilst the district rating is less than Extreme.

Thursday

Showers about the west and south, easing and contracting to the west during the morning. Isolated showers developing about the east coast during the afternoon and evening. Fine elsewhere. Westerly winds, with afternoon sea breezes about the east coast.

Detailed Forecast
for Thursday 5 February 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Wednesday 4 February 2026.

Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
King Island Grassland 73% 12 0     0     0    
Shrubland 18% 11 0     0     0    
Forest 8% 30 1 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   1 13 6 0     0    
Furneaux Islands Forest 37% 31 32 13 6 0     0    
Shrubland 34% 23 1 13 4 0     0    
Grassland 29% 17 0     0     0    
District Summary   33 13 6 0     0    
North West Coast Forest 60% 23 5 11 8 0     0    
Grassland 31% 11 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 23 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 24 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 1% 8 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 46 1 2 20 0     0    
District Summary   6 2 20 0     0    
Central North Grassland 48% 17 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Forest 47% 31 30 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 2% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 18 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 50 1 0 24 < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   32 2 20 < 1 NA NA 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
North East Forest 68% 31 20 13 6 0     0    
Grassland 22% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Pine 5% 49 3 0 23 < 1 NA NA 0    
Shrubland 4% 26 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 38 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
District Summary   25 1 20 < 1 NA NA 0    
East Coast Forest 80% 28 33 12 6 0     0    
Grassland 18% 16 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 19 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 38 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   34 12 6 0     0    
Midlands Grassland 61% 19 0     0     0    
Forest 38% 27 25 13 6 0     0    
Woodland 0% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 4 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 29 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   25 13 6 0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley Forest 55% 22 2 11 8 0     0    
Grassland 40% 17 0     0     0    
Pine 4% 37 3 0 21 0     0    
Woodland 0% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 4 0     0     0    
District Summary   6 0 21 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
South East Forest 73% 27 16 11 8 0     0    
Grassland 20% 16 0     0     0    
Woodland 4% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 2% 21 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Pine 0% 48 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 26 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   16 10 9 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
Central Plateau Forest 77% 21 1 13 6 0     0    
Grassland 11% 14 0     0     0    
Shrubland 8% 6 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 23 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Pine 0% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   1 4 15 0     0    
Western Forest 62% 10 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 32% 20 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Shrubland 6% 11 0     0     0    
Grassland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 4 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 33 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   1 0 21 0     0    

Weather Information
for Thursday 5 February 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Wednesday 4 February 2026.

Fire Weather District Max Temp
(deg C)
Min RH
(%)
Wind (km/h) 1500 m Wind (km/h) Mix Height
(m AMSL)
TAL Rainfall
(mm)
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed
King Island 20-20 48-50 SW 25-30 40-45 W 40 1600 0 0.0-0.0
Furneaux Islands 22-22 40-45 W 35-40 50-55 W 55 1500 0 0.0-0.0
North West Coast 20-21 33-41 SW 25-35 35-45 SW 45 2000 0 0.0-0.0
Central North 22-23 25-30 W 20-25 30-40 W 40 2400 0 0.0-0.0
North East 24-26 28-32 W 20-30 30-40 W 45 2500 0 0.0-0.0
East Coast 21-24 26-32 W 20-30 30-40 W 45 2600 0 0.0-0.0
Midlands 19-22 26-34 W 20-30 30-40 W 45 2400 0 0.0-0.0
Upper Derwent Valley 16-18 42-47 W 25-30 35-40 W 50 2300 0 0.0-1.0
South East 18-20 37-42 W 25-30 35-45 W 55 2400 0 0.0-1.0
Central Plateau 13-16 43-52 W 25-30 35-45 W 45 2400 0 0.0-2.0
Western 17-18 48-52 W 30-35 40-50 W 50 2300 0 0.0-4.0
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