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Tasmania Fire Service > Fire Weather Forecast > Day 3

IDT13133

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Wednesday 15 October 2025

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Saturday 11 October 2025.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Weather District District Rating Max Sub Area Rating District FBI cHaines Wind Change Danger Index TAL Minor Fuel Type Rating >= Extreme
King Island   No Rating 7 9 0 0  
Flinders   Moderate 16 9 0 0  
Central Coast   No Rating 8 7 0 0  
Latrobe   Moderate 13 7 0 0  
Kentish   No Rating 9 7 0 0  
Burnie City   No Rating 10 7 0 0  
Devonport City   No Rating 7 7 0 0  
Circular Head   Moderate 14 7 25 0  
West Tamar   Moderate 14 7 0 0  
Launceston City   Moderate 16 7 0 0  
George Town   Moderate 12 8 0 0  
Dorset   Moderate 13 8 0 0  
Break O'Day   Moderate 19 8 0 0  
Glamorgan-Spring Bay   High 27 6 23 0  
Sorell   High 28 6 0 0  
Northern Midlands   Moderate 20 6 0 0  
Southern Midlands   High 25 6 0 0  
Upper Derwent Valley Moderate NA 16 5 0 0  
Tasman   Moderate 23 5 0 0  
Kingborough   Moderate 22 4 0 0  
Clarence City   High 27 5 33 0  
Glenorchy City   Moderate 20 4 0 0  
Hobart City   Moderate 20 4 0 0  
Brighton   High 28 4 0 0  
Meander Valley   No Rating 9 7 24 0  
Central Highlands   Moderate 15 6 0 0  
Huon Valley   Moderate 15 4 0 0  
Waratah-Wynyard   No Rating 7 7 5 0  
West Coast   Moderate 15 5 29 0  
Derwent Valley   Moderate 15 4 0 0  

Note

Fire Weather District Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
District FBI (Fire Behaviour Index) is the representative peak FBI in the district. 10% of the Fire Weather District has a max FBI higher than this value.
When the table is expanded the forecast elements in the expanded rows apply to the relevant Sub Area rather than district.
Red cells indicate the value exceeds the weather alert threshold. For c-Haines this is the 95th percentile climatological value, for WCDI this is a value over 40, for Minor Fuel Type Rating this indicates Extreme or higher whilst the district rating is less than Extreme.

Wednesday

Showers about the west. Fine elsewhere. West to northwesterly winds.

Detailed Forecast
for Wednesday 15 October 2025

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Saturday 11 October 2025.

Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
King Island Grassland 73% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 18% 8 0     0     0    
Forest 8% 13 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 3 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands Forest 37% 16 0     0     0    
Shrubland 34% 17 0     0     0    
Grassland 29% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
North West Coast Forest 60% 9 0     0     0    
Grassland 31% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 12 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 20 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 1% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 3 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Central North Grassland 48% 8 0     0     0    
Forest 47% 16 0     0     0    
Woodland 2% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 12 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
North East Forest 68% 18 0     0     0    
Grassland 22% 7 0     0     0    
Pine 5% 5 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 16 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 0% 2 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 26 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
East Coast Forest 80% 27 25 13 5 0     0    
Grassland 18% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 13 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 38 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   25 13 5 0     0    
Midlands Grassland 61% 9 0     0     0    
Forest 38% 25 10 13 5 0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 8 0     0     0    
District Summary   10 13 5 0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley Forest 55% 20 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 40% 8 0     0     0    
Pine 4% 5 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 5 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
South East Forest 73% 22 5 13 6 0     0    
Grassland 20% 13 0     0     0    
Woodland 4% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 2% 23 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Pine 0% 50 < 1 NA NA < 1 NA NA 0    
Buttongrass 0% 33 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   6 0 20 < 1 NA NA 0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
Central Plateau Forest 77% 15 0     0     0    
Grassland 11% 8 0     0     0    
Shrubland 8% 9 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 23 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Pine 0% 2 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Western Forest 62% 0 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 32% 19 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Shrubland 6% 5 0     0     0    
Grassland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 3 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    

Weather Information
for Wednesday 15 October 2025

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Saturday 11 October 2025.

Fire Weather District Max Temp
(deg C)		 Min RH
(%)		 Wind (km/h) 1500 m Wind (km/h) Mix Height
(m AMSL)		 TAL Rainfall
(mm)
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed
King Island 16-16 64-67 W 25-30 35-45 W 60 1100 0 0.0-0.0
Furneaux Islands 17-17 58-61 W 30-40 45-55 W 70 1200 0 0.0-0.0
North West Coast 16-18 50-59 W 25-35 35-45 W 60 1600 0 0.0-1.0
Central North 18-20 46-51 NW 25-35 35-45 W 65 1800 0 0.0-0.0
North East 17-19 44-55 W 25-35 35-50 W 70 1600 0 0.0-0.0
East Coast 19-21 36-40 W 25-35 35-45 W 70 2100 0 0.0-0.0
Midlands 18-20 40-43 NW 30-35 40-50 W 75 2100 0 0.0-0.0
Upper Derwent Valley 16-18 46-50 NW 30-35 40-50 W 80 2000 0 0.0-1.0
South East 16-19 40-47 NW 30-35 40-50 W 80 2000 0 0.0-1.0
Central Plateau 13-16 48-57 W 30-40 45-55 W 70 2200 0 0.0-2.0
Western 14-15 58-64 NW 35-45 45-65 W 70 1700 0 1.0-6.0
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