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Tasmania Fire Service (Staging) > Fire Weather Forecast > Day 3

IDT13133

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Fire Weather Forecast for Tasmania
for Saturday 17 October 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 13 October 2026.

Forecasts are issued regularly: Please ensure you have the latest version.

Summary

Fire Weather District District Rating Max Sub Area Rating District FBI cHaines Wind Change Danger Index TAL Minor Fuel Type Rating >= Extreme
King Island   No Rating 6 5 0 0  
Flinders   Moderate 19 10 0 0  
Central Coast   No Rating 8 5 17 0  
Latrobe   Moderate 15 6 18 0  
Kentish   Moderate 12 5 25 0  
Burnie City   No Rating 10 5 4 0  
Devonport City   No Rating 7 5 39 0  
Circular Head   Moderate 13 8 0 0  
West Tamar   Moderate 16 6 39 0  
Launceston City   Moderate 18 7 16 0  
George Town   Moderate 15 7 27 0  
Dorset   Moderate 15 8 17 0  
Break O'Day   Moderate 20 8 1 0  
Glamorgan-Spring Bay   High 24 8 0 0  
Sorell   Moderate 23 7 36 0  
Northern Midlands   Moderate 21 8 17 0  
Southern Midlands   Moderate 23 8 0 0  
Upper Derwent Valley Moderate NA 17 7 44 0  
Tasman   Moderate 23 8 37 0  
Kingborough   Moderate 20 7 77 0  
Clarence City   Moderate 23 7 34 0  
Glenorchy City   Moderate 19 7 60 0  
Hobart City   Moderate 20 7 39 0  
Brighton   High 24 7 44 0  
Meander Valley   Moderate 12 5 31 0  
Central Highlands   Moderate 18 8 11 0  
Huon Valley   Moderate 18 6 73 0  
Waratah-Wynyard   No Rating 7 9 0 0  
West Coast   Moderate 16 8 34 0  
Derwent Valley   Moderate 17 7 57 0  

Note

Fire Weather District Ratings are provided in conjunction with Fire Authorities.
District FBI (Fire Behaviour Index) is the representative peak FBI in the district. 10% of the Fire Weather District has a max FBI higher than this value.
When the table is expanded the forecast elements in the expanded rows apply to the relevant Sub Area rather than district.
Red cells indicate the value exceeds the weather alert threshold. For c-Haines this is the 95th percentile climatological value, for WCDI this is a value over 40, for Minor Fuel Type Rating this indicates Extreme or higher whilst the district rating is less than Extreme.

Saturday

Fine apart from light showers about the north. Morning valley fog. Northeast to northwesterly winds.

Detailed Forecast
for Saturday 17 October 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 13 October 2026.

Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
King Island Grassland 73% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 18% 6 0     0     0    
Forest 8% 17 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Furneaux Islands Forest 40% 19 0     0     0    
Shrubland 31% 10 0     0     0    
Grassland 28% 6 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
North West Coast Forest 59% 11 0     0     0    
Grassland 31% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 14 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 20 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Woodland 1% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 1% 3 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Central North Grassland 50% 10 0     0     0    
Forest 45% 19 0     0     0    
Woodland 2% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 2% 10 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 7 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
North East Forest 68% 19 0     0     0    
Grassland 23% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 5% 19 0     0     0    
Shrubland 4% 8 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 2 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 18 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
East Coast Forest 79% 24 8 13 6 0     0    
Grassland 19% 10 0     0     0    
Shrubland 1% 21 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 28 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
District Summary   8 13 6 0     0    
Midlands Grassland 63% 8 0     0     0    
Forest 37% 24 7 13 5 0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 4 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 17 0     0     0    
District Summary   7 13 5 0     0    
Upper Derwent Valley Forest 55% 20 0     0     0    
Grassland 41% 9 0     0     0    
Pine 4% 6 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 0% 4 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
South East Forest 72% 22 3 13 6 0     0    
Grassland 21% 8 0     0     0    
Woodland 4% 6 0     0     0    
Shrubland 2% 10 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 36 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Buttongrass 0% 15 0     0     0    
District Summary   3 12 8 0     0    
Fire Weather District Fuel Type and Coverage FBI FBI >= 24 FBI >= 50 FBI >= 100
Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur Cover (%) From Dur
Central Plateau Forest 77% 18 < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Grassland 11% 7 0     0     0    
Shrubland 8% 4 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 3% 18 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 1 0     0     0    
District Summary   < 1 NA NA 0     0    
Western Forest 62% 0 0     0     0    
Buttongrass 32% 19 0     0     0    
Shrubland 6% 9 0     0     0    
Grassland 0% 5 0     0     0    
Woodland 0% 1 0     0     0    
Pine 0% 3 0     0     0    
District Summary   0     0     0    

Weather Information
for Saturday 17 October 2026

Issued at 4:00 pm EDT on Tuesday 13 October 2026.

Fire Weather District Max Temp
(deg C)		 Min RH
(%)		 Wind (km/h) 1500 m Wind (km/h) Mix Height
(m AMSL)		 TAL Rainfall
(mm)
Dir Speed Gust Dir Speed
King Island 21-21 57-58 E 20-25 25-30 N 20 1900 0 0.0-0.0
Furneaux Islands 20-21 51-52 NE 20-25 30-35 N 20 1500 0 0.0-0.0
North West Coast 18-21 49-57 E 20-30 30-40 N 20 2000 0 0.0-0.0
Central North 20-21 42-47 N 15-20 25-30 N 20 2200 0 0.0-0.0
North East 20-21 44-49 N 15-20 20-30 N 20 2000 0 0.0-0.0
East Coast 21-22 33-39 N 20-25 25-30 NW 20 2300 0 0.0-0.0
Midlands 21-23 30-37 N 20-25 25-35 NW 20 2300 0 0.0-0.0
Upper Derwent Valley 23-24 29-31 N 15-15 20-25 NW 15 2700 0 0.0-0.0
South East 22-24 28-33 N 15-20 25-30 NW 20 2400 0 0.0-0.0
Central Plateau 17-21 33-43 N 20-25 30-35 NW 20 2600 0 0.0-0.0
Western 22-24 31-36 NE 15-25 25-30 NW 25 2600 0 0.0-0.0
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